California vs UCLA 10/29/2011

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California is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat UCLA. Isi Sofele is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 51% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where UCLA wins, Kevin Prince averages 1.58 TD passes vs 0.93 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 1.2 interceptions. Johnathan Franklin averages 93 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing TDs when UCLA wins and 80 yards and 0.49 TDs in losses. California has a 60% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCLA +5

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